Comparing Jeremy Maclin

photo via rotoask.com

photo via rotoask.com

For the last few years, Jeremy Maclin has been poised as a guy ready to make “the jump”. However, after notching  964 yards and 10 touchdowns in 2010 he hasn’t progressed. More importantly, Maclin is entering a contract year and I’ve been arguing with friends about what to do with him for weeks. As a result, let’s a take a look at some comparable receivers who just got contracts to see what kind of contract we could expect for Maclin headed into this year.

To begin, let’s examine this year’s prize in free agency, Mike Wallace.

Mike Wallace is a good fit here because he’s from the same draft class as Maclin (2009) and is a guy who is seen as a top performer, which is why I recently compared him to the odd case of Victor Cruz. So, here’s Wallaces career by the numbers compared to Maclin:

Wallace:


Year Rec Yds Avg TD
2012 64 836 13.1 8
2011 72 1193 16.6 8
2010 60 1257 21 10
2009 39 756 19.4 6
TOTAL 235 4042 17.2 32

Maclin:


Year Rec Yds Avg TD
2012 69 857 12.4 7
2011 63 859 13.6 5
2010 70 964 13.8 10
2009 56 773 13.8 4
TOTAL 258 3453 13.4 26

Wallace has had a very productive career thus far, earning a Pro Bowl appearance in 2011 despite having a better 2010 season. Though what’s more important for this purpose is that Wallace had a little but of a down year in 2012 (highlighted in green) and walked away with a deal for five years, $60 million dollars. If Maclin plays like it’s a contract year and gets something like 1,100 yards and 8 touchdowns he could very well be in line for a deal a little lower than Wallace’s on the open market. Though that’s not to say he’s worth it.

The next player also signed a new contract and was drafted two sports after Maclin in 2009: Percy Harvin. After being traded to Seattle for three draft picks, Harvin recently signed an extension for six years, $67 million dollars. Let’s see how Maclin stacks up to the newest Seahawk.

Harvin:


Year Rec Yds Avg TD
2012 62 677 10.9 3
2011 87 967 11.1 6
2010 71 868 12.2 5
2009 60 790 13.2 6
TOTAL 280 3302 11.8 20

Maclin:

Year Rec Yds Avg TD
2012 69 857 12.4 7
2011 63 859 13.6 5
2010 70 964 13.8 10
2009 56 773 13.8 4
TOTAL 258 3453 13.4 26

When comparing these numbers, Maclin compares quite favorably to Harvin as a receiver and could be a more reasonable negotiating point  this upcoming year if Maclin improves. However, Harvin has increased value due to his contributions as a runner (684 career yards and 4 TD’s) and kick returner (5 TD’s). If he returns punts under Chip Kelly, which he’s recently been practicing, this might be a closer comparison than expected.

The last player that I’d like to compare with Maclin is already on the same team and rhymes is Schmeschmawn Schmackson: Riley Cooper DeSean Jackson. DeSean signed a new deal with the Eagles last year that extended him for five years, $51 million dollars. But how does Maclin match up to his counterpart? Let’s see.

Note: for this case, I removed DeSean’s 2012 numbers to compare his numbers after four full seasons.

Jackson:


 Year Rec Yds Avg TD
2011 58 961 16.6 4
2010 47 1056 22.5 6
2009 62 1156 18.6 9
2008 62 912 14.7 2
TOTAL 239 4085 18.1 21

Maclin:

Year Rec Yds Avg TD
2012 69 857 12.4 7
2011 63 859 13.6 5
2010 70 964 13.8 10
2009 56 773 13.8 4
TOTAL 258 3453 13.4 26

At this point in his career, DeSean had a better career than Maclin by a solid margin, generating 600 more yards, contributing on punt returns, and making the most memorable play in modern Eagles history. So, what does this all mean for Mac going forward?

Well, it means that if he were to have a year that’s par for the course (850 yards, 7 TD’s, no punt returns) then he’ll likely get an extension offer from the Eagles for something like 5 years, 45 million.

The question then would be, is he worth it?

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Posted on May 21, 2013, in Posts. Bookmark the permalink. 1 Comment.

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